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No La Nina this summer, NOAA says

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Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland
No La Nina this summer, NOAA says PostFri Jul 20, 2007 2:57 pm  Reply with quote  

...While it couldn't be anymore obvious that this is a La Nina. NOAA lies to us about weather modification and then lies to insurance companies,the public, and their own people about what is the phase of Pacific ENSO. We can't trust these people.

"No La Nina this summer, NOAA says"
(Source: Associated Press, 7/16/07)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has predicted that
La Nina a cooling of Pacific Ocean waters that generally brings a
more active Atlantic hurricane season will be absent for the next
two months.

But don't get rid of those disaster kits just yet.

The absence of La Nina doesn't necessarily herald a tame summer for
tropical storms and hurricanes, said Dennis Feltgen, meteorologist and
spokesman for NOAA in Miami.

"There are so many other ingredients that contribute to the
development of tropical cyclones, it's not just the fact that we don't
have a La Nina that comes into play here," Feltgen said.

Hurricane season 2005 was a textbook example of this. La Nina wasn't
around, but the season managed to break records, with 28 named storms,
including 15 hurricanes, seven of which were major.

La Nina is the counterpart to the better known El Nino, a warming of
Pacific waters near the equator that creates a less conducive
environment for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic. Both ocean
conditions are hard to predict long-term and don't follow regular

This year, forecasters have predicted an above-average hurricane
season, which runs June 1 through November. They believe there will be
13 to 17 named storms, with seven to 10 of them becoming hurricanes
and three to five of those reaching at least Category 3 strength.

Part of the reason behind this, Feltgen said, is that we're in an
active hurricane cycle a phenomenon of heightened activity that can
last for decades. The last one spanned the 1940s through 1960s. The
current one started in 1995 and could last for another decade, Feltgen

"So all things being equal, we expect an above average number of
cyclones," he added. "Be prepared."

There have been two named storms in 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea,
which formed in May, and Tropical Storm Barry, which formed June 1,
the first day of hurricane season.
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