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weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
For Integrity Sake
 Thu Jan 26, 2006 3:33 am
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The above photo was from the 12Z run this afternoon. The lastest run just came out and it really shows this NW extension of the high pressure. The first photo is from this afternoon's run and the second photo is from tonight's run which can still be accessed at www.weather.unisys.com
Last edited by weatherman714 on Fri Jan 27, 2006 3:36 am; edited 1 time in total |
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weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
| What was looking like a good rain for Texas, destroyed
Fri Jan 27, 2006 3:34 am
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It appears the USAF has destroyed a good rain event for Texas to aid with the wildfires. The latest ETA model says it all. This is a 48hour precipitation accumlation projection. Remember the GFS from two nights ago showed the 2"+ of rain across Texas. Now we're looking at around 0.5" of rain.. maybe.
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weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
| to be fair....
Fri Jan 27, 2006 10:25 pm
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My best guess is what the USAF is doing is going to cause an extention of the ridge off the FL coast NW into Missouri, Western Kentucky, Western Tennessee. What this should do is change the major axis(most and best chance for precipitation) for precipitation where its most desparately needed over Western, Central, Southern Texas, northeastward into Northeastern Texas, Eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and Louisana.
Just as I said, the major rain axis has been shifted by each computer model available. Just to be fair, considering we started with the GFS let's go back to what the GFS is forecasting. This is a 48 hour cumulative precip total. So this adds up all the projected precipitation for the next 2 days. Remember where the main rain axis was over Central, Western and Southern Texas? Look where it has been shifted too. Eastern Texas, Eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisana. The last piece is to see where the rain actually falls.  Stay Tuned!
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hakkor
Joined: 05 Sep 2005
Posts: 28
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| The Arctic Beacon..calls for a nuclear attack..Tuesday..
Sat Jan 28, 2006 9:26 pm
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Texas City, Texas may be the target for a nuclear attack on one of its refineries according to The Arctic Beacon.. I would think Bush would want any fallout from such an event to miss Crawford. What would be the fallout based on present conditions?
http://www.arcticbeacon.com/ |
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weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
| Wrapping Up
Sun Jan 29, 2006 5:52 pm
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Let's go back and see how we did.
This was when everything fundamentally changed with this system. I said that the jet stream would become more N-S over the Plains and W-E over the East Coast.
Actual Jet Stream
Going back and comparing from a few days prior.
Clearly we had a change in the jet stream.
How about precipitation?
I made the suggestion that the effects of the USAF spraying would shift the best moisture axis "for precipitation where its most desparately needed over Western, Central, Southern Texas, northeastward into Northeastern Texas, Eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and Louisana."
It looks like I did a good job of forecasting that as well.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/rfcshare/precip_analysis_new.php
What can we say. There is a rain inducing spray, which is causing the jet stream to turn counterclockwise when introduced into the atmosphere at the jet stream level. The only feasable method of doing this is to attach endothermic bacteria onto plastic strings. Ice crystals form on the plastic fibers and the endothermic bacteria grow and increase in numbers, taking more energy and heat out the atmosphere at the jet stream level. Therefore creating a lower pressure because of the simple P*V=n*R*T relationship. Lower the temperature and you have to lower the pressure. Air rushes into lower pressure and turns counterclockwise. |
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visual ray wizard
Joined: 09 Jul 2005
Posts: 439
Location: United States |
| 24 hour precip totals
Sun Jan 29, 2006 8:27 pm
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7 day precip totals
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visual ray wizard
Joined: 09 Jul 2005
Posts: 439
Location: United States |
| Farmers Almanac called for a very cold Dec and Jan for
Sun Jan 29, 2006 8:34 pm
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for the Ohio Valley.
http://www.almanac.com/weatherforecast/us/7
Winter-season temperatures will be about a degree colder than normal, on average, due to a very cold December and January. The coldest temperatures will occur in mid-December and mid- to late January. February will be quite mild, followed by a near-normal March. Precipitation will be near or a bit below normal, with much-above-normal snowfall in the northeast and near-normal snowfall elsewhere. The snowiest periods will be in mid- and late December, mid- and late January, and mid-February.
April and May will be much cooler than normal, with near-normal precipitation in the east and above-normal precipitation in the west.
Temperatures in the summer season will be about a degree below normal, on average, with a cool June followed by a near-normal July and a hot August. The hottest temperatures will occur in late July and late August.
September and October will be warmer than normal, with near-normal rainfall. September will start hot, but temperatures after the month's first week will be near normal, on average. October will start and end with mild temperatures, with cool temperatures in the month's middle. |
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Louis Aubuchont
tagged & banned
Joined: 08 Mar 2005
Posts: 946
Location: Parsonsfield, Maine |
| DELETED
Sun Jan 29, 2006 11:50 pm
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DELETED DUE TO THE POLICY OF CTC IN LETTING THE DEBUNKERS AND TROUBLEMAKERS LIKE "FUIwon'tDoWhatUTellMe" AKA, "MAY41970' OVERRUN THE SITE.
FOR THAT REASON I WILL NOT HAVE MY POST ARCHIVED HERE AND I NO LONGER WISH TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SITE
Last edited by Louis Aubuchont on Wed Nov 21, 2007 11:42 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
| Thanks Wizard
Mon Jan 30, 2006 1:46 pm
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Thank you Wizard for posting those precipitation maps. What I don't want people to be confused over is, the maps that Visual postes are in (mm) and not inches. It's 25.4 mm per inch of rain. I can see how the colors and legend could confuse some people. |
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