|
|
weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
The Re-Exposure of the Gulf Coast, Hurricane Season
 Sat Feb 02, 2008 3:06 am
|
 |
|
The nearly 12 month La Nina that took me 72hrs to create is coming to a close in the next two months. Already signs of the new pattern which will feature a weak to moderate El Nino are starting to appear. This new pattern c/o the USAF is appearing that it will leave most of the Gulf Coast exposed to hurricanes, particularly Houston, Texas and New Orleans. The root cause for this exposure, which I patched up in December of 2006 is from the USAF's heavy spraying operations across the Eastern Pacific Ocean, as highlighted here over the past two months. We've seen NASA and the DOD cooperate in blurring satellite photos and restricting access during peak spraying periods. All of these actions appear to be coming home to roost in the summer of 08.
The Atlantic ENSO pattern.
During the summer of 2005 there was a strong La Nina in the Atlantic Ocean. This pushed a tremendous amount of warm water into the Carribean Basin, which made its way into the Gulf of Mexico. While Global Warming lunatic scientists spewed their propaganda along with a clear lack of meteorological understanding; the world was lead to believe Global Warming to be the reason for the record number of hurricanes. The reality was the Strong La Nina in the Atlantic was the reason.
Notice the darker blue colors along the western coast of Africa.
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.6.14.2005.gif
There is a scientific consensus that the Atlantic ENSO mirrors the Pacific ENSO, but only 9-12 months later. If this is to be true, the Atlantic will once again feature a Strong La Nina, which will bring a much higher than normal number of hurricanes along with a shift in the Pacific ENSO leaving the Gulf Coast exposed for the big one. Our Air force has no concept of long term meteorological planning and seems to be interested in fiixing short term meteorological problems highlighted by the press. |
| |
|
|
visual ray wizard
Joined: 09 Jul 2005
Posts: 439
Location: United States |
| What is your prediction on the number of hurricanes that
Tue Feb 05, 2008 3:44 am
|
|
|
make landfall in the months to come? Has the national weather service published any data regarding thier forecasts?
_________________
Being one with nature never felt so good! |
| |
|
|
weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
|
Tue Feb 05, 2008 11:39 pm
|
|
|
I've been too busy to keep tabs with their forecasts. I've pressed extremely hard on my weather computer model over the past 3 weeks. The initalization program works fantastically, the update program crashed my txt file database. I had to do a system recovery to reclaim them. Using the initialization program the error rates of less than +/- 2F. There were many questions raised by people about the spread of temperatures affecting the accuracy of my formulas. Adjusted for the USAF the error rates for the MD/VA area fell to 0.57F in Janurary on a 1-5 day forecast. There's nothing else out there that's even close.
You can check out the the NWS predictions at http://www.nws.noaa.gov |
| |
|
|
weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
|
Sun Mar 16, 2008 2:53 am
|
|
|
The La Nina is coming to a close. Warmer than normal water temperatures are now present off the Western Coast of South America. The cold water pump that helps fuel the Stronger La Nina in that region has shut off entirely. The weather patterns are beginning to mirror a Moderate El Nino. About another month we should in a Weak El Nino.
2/14/08
3/13/08
Forecast spreads issued by NOAA 3/6/08...an El Nino of any strength isn't on the map anywhere, except one model...
 |
| |
|
|
KevinMartin
Joined: 15 May 2007
Posts: 159
|
|
Sun Mar 16, 2008 7:52 am
|
|
|
You know I publicly published we would be in a major El Nino for next season right?
_________________
"Weather is like a cookbook and you need all the ingredients to make the perfect meal".
-Kevin Martin |
| |
|
|
weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
|
Sat Mar 29, 2008 3:19 am
|
|
|
before or after November 20,2007? Great Meteorological Minds think alike. 
There's a lot of people here and in the world that would disagree with my assersion that we are probably 2 of the top 5 most talented meteorologists on the planet. I think we've both proven through forecasting abilities that a PhD in meteorology is merely what it is, a piece of paper stating you've taken a bunch of classes in meteorology. The difference is we beg for crumbs on the payscale and they get the real money. |
| |
|
|
weatherman714
tagged & banned
Joined: 11 Jun 2005
Posts: 953
Location: Maryland |
|
Wed Sep 17, 2008 10:11 pm
|
|
|
quote:
The nearly 12 month La Nina that took me 72hrs to create is coming to a close in the next two months. Already signs of the new pattern which will feature a weak to moderate El Nino are starting to appear. This new pattern c/o the USAF is appearing that it will leave most of the Gulf Coast exposed to hurricanes, particularly Houston, Texas and New Orleans. The root cause for this exposure, which I patched up in December of 2006[should be 2007] is from the USAF's heavy spraying operations across the Eastern Pacific Ocean, as highlighted here over the past two months.
Ike and Gustav, got it right! |
| |
|
|
 
|
|
All times are GMT. The time now is Fri May 25, 2012 4:04 pm
|
|
|
|
|
Login
