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Mech
Joined: 06 Jun 2001
Posts: 8237
Location: THE 4th REICH USA |
MT. Rainier due to blow?
 Tue Aug 19, 2003 9:48 pm
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Mount Rainier More Unstable Than Previously Thought
By Mitch Battros (ECTV)
08/12/03
No, this is not sensationalism. And no, it is not a time to panic. As I have stated at the first of this month, we would in fact be receiving what might appear as startling. It is important for us to remember we are simply witness to a very natural cycle. Yes, there will be extraordinary events unfolding. And yes, some may be prone to "over-react". And yes, this would be a good time to practice the many disciplines which keep us grounded and focused. And perhaps most importantly, remember you are not alone. In contrast to the eighty's, there are thousands of us, if not millions, who have woken up from a slumber sleep. Together, we can indeed move mountains.
This Just In! Mount Rainier is determined to be more unstable than previously thought. William E. Scott is the scientist in charge of the Cascades Volcano Observatory, a USGS center that monitors volcanoes from California to Alaska. Dr. William Scott just yesterday made this profound statement. Mt. Rainier is ?A monumental threat?.
Volcanologists determined in the late 1990s that the mountain is far more unstable than previously thought, and they have since persuaded local emergency management officials to launch an early-warning system and a major public-awareness campaign. Tens of thousands of people are being told to ?enjoy the volcano in your back yard? but to be prepared to run away from it ? fast. The town nearest Rainier has about 40 minutes to flee. Inside the national park that encircles the mountain, scientists in recent months have shortened the run-for-it survival time to five minutes.
During this 'freakishly' warm, dry and cloudless summer in the Pacific Northwest, astonishing views of Mount Rainier have been uncommonly common. Clear sight lines have made it possible to gaze at Rainier and appreciate it less as an intermittent aesthetic pleasure and more for what the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) warns that it really is.
It is my contingency the "freakish" warm weather is due to the Sun. In just the last two days, we have seen solar winds in the high range, producing geomagnetic storms. It is also my presumption, that CME's have been erupting, and even possible M-Class flares even though the more popular space weather monitors have not flashed the "M-Class or X-Class" flare emblem. I make this determination by working backwards. (see equation) The solar wind charts along with the Kp index scale indicates high solar activity. Just because some popular private website, namely "maj.com", is not flashing the M-Class flare insignia, does not mean it has not occurred. I am going on record to challenge current monitor websites as to the accuracy of their display. I am calling on all amateur space weather monitors to send in your independent reports. Something just doesn't smell right.
Equation: Sunspots => Solar Flares => Magnetic Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros)
Beware of "Lahars":
Lahar is an Indonesian term that describes a hot or cold mixture of water and rock fragments flowing down the slopes of a volcano and (or) river valleys. When moving, a lahar looks like a mass of wet concrete that carries rock debris ranging in size from clay to boulders more than 10 m in diameter. Lahars vary in size and speed. Small lahars less than a few meters wide and several centimeters deep may flow a few meters per second. Large lahars hundreds of meters wide and tens of meters deep can flow several tens of meters per second--much too fast for people to outrun.
As a lahar rushes downstream from a volcano, its size, speed, and the amount of water and rock debris it carries constantly change. The beginning surge of water and rock debris often erodes rocks and vegetation from the side of a volcano and along the river valley it enters. This initial flow can also incorporate water from melting snow and ice (if present) and the river it overruns. By eroding rock debris and incorporating additional water, lahars can easily grow to more than 10 times their initial size. But as a lahar moves farther away from a volcano, it will eventually begin to lose its heavy load of sediment and decrease in size.
Jill Hawk, chief ranger at the (mount rainier) park made the high risk of danger very clear when she made this startling statement. ?I don?t have time to evacuate people,? she said. ?I have time to run.?
A new risk assessment by the USGS has drastically narrowed the survival window in the case of a lahar. It shriveled from a maximum of 23 minutes to five minutes. That applies to people working in National Park Service buildings and staying in a large guest lodge in a valley on the much-visited southwest corner of the park.
Tonight on Earth Changes TV "Radio Hour"!
Tuesday August 12th - Dr. Bruce Cornet---Geologist, Paleobotanist, Palynologist, and Oil Explorer. Post-doctorate research in geology and paleobotany at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University (1989-1990). Author and coauthor of 21 refereed scientific papers and two books, all on paleontological and/or geological subjects. 14 years experience in the oil industry, and President of Geminoil, Inc., which successfully explored for and found oil on the East Coast in Triassic age rocks thought to be barren of hydrocarbons (just before the collapse of the oil industry in the early 1980's). Website: http://www.monmouth.com/%7Ebcornet/index.htm#Paleontology
Thursday August 14th - Jim Berkland---USGS Geologist (retired) Jim has published more than 50 scientific papers related to geology and seismology. Jim Berkland is best known for his accuracy rate in predicting earthquakes. Website: http://www.syzygyjob.org/
Tuesday August 19th - Ian Lungold---Ian has spent many years studying the Maya culture, and is one of the few who can truly read and assess the Mayan Calendar. Website: http://www.mayanmajix.com/
Subscribe To ECTV For Full Access: http://www.earthchangestv.com/subscribe.htm
Receive Your "Free" ECTV Newsletter: http://www.earthchangestv.com/newsletter.htm
About Mitch: http://www.earthchangestv.com/mitch/index.htm
Sherry's Corner: http://www.earthchangestv.com/Sherry/index.htm
Survival Tips: http://www.earthchangestv.com/survival/index.htm
Mitch Battros Producer - Earth Changes TV http://www.earthchangestv.com
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Mech
Joined: 06 Jun 2001
Posts: 8237
Location: THE 4th REICH USA |
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Wed Aug 20, 2003 1:43 am
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shatoga
Joined: 23 Nov 2002
Posts: 1291
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Wed Aug 20, 2003 12:57 pm
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Just posted this at another forum.
Trying to get friends in Sea-Tac area to get out while they still can.
Boeing didn't spend tens of millions leaving Seattle for no good reason.
Thanks for posting this topic!
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Mech
Joined: 06 Jun 2001
Posts: 8237
Location: THE 4th REICH USA |
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Wed Aug 20, 2003 7:12 pm
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I posted it at 4 forums total.
It wouldn't hurt to be prepared.
After all...boulders the size of Volkswagens might just rain down on Sea/Tac.
The mountain is only 14,000 ft high.
Imagine a mountain of that size going volcanic?
It would make St. Helens seem like like a powder puff.
And that one was said to have had the explosive effect of a 2 megaton nuclear detonation. |
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Catnip57
Joined: 22 Apr 2001
Posts: 596
Location: Central Washington |
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Tue Aug 26, 2003 7:02 pm
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Since I live in Central Washington state I can give a first hand account of what it was like to experience the effects of a volcanic erruption.
Back in May of 1980 where we lived we had a lot of ash to contend with after St. Helens exploded. It basically turned the day into night and it was totally freaky watching this grayish white substance falling from the air. We had one friend who thought we were experiencing a nuclear fallout event. People were told to stay indoors and avoid breathing the ash as it was bad for our lungs. Turned out to be bad for cars, computers, and most everything else.
After the initial ash fall we went about cleaning up the mess. I remember trying to wash the ash off our car and the roof of the mobile home we lived in. When water mixed with this ash it had the consistency of wet sand. It became quite heavy and hard to move, yet, trying to sweep it off in the dry state created more clouds of choaking ash so it was best to use water to hold down the dust.
It was amazing to watch the clean up efforts by the city. They hauled away dump trucks full of ash. For days the air hung with the blowing ash... I thought our summer was ruined for sure and just as sure that all the plants were going to suffer pemanent damage.
I was totally surprised though at how mother nature seemed to step in and return things back to normal. And eventually the ash was found to be a great fertilizer so that gave a boost to the agriculture for a while. Our summer wasn't ruined after all and life did return back to normal in about a couple of months.
After the winter rains and snows things looked good..... but... St. Helens wasn't as big as Mt. Rainier and it's wasn't as close to the populated cities as Rainier is... so... some caution and preparations would be a good idea for everyone living close to the area. |
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