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COMMENTARY
Watch Your Back With the Taliban FoesBy MANSOOR IJAZ, Mansoor Ijaz, a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, proposed the blueprint for the moujahedeen cease-fire in Kashmir last year
Now that the Northern Alliance has captured Mazar-i-Sharif, the U.S.-led military campaign soon will test how much of the effort can be entrusted to its Afghan allies on the ground and how much of it U.S. forces will have to take up themselves.
The willingness of northern Afghan warlords to wage the grueling ground battles needed to smoke Al Qaeda from its caves will test Afghanistan's historical tendencies to shift allegiances without notice.
The Soviets learned this in the 1980s with disastrous results when they got caught between a Northern Alliance, which they believed was their ally, and the Taliban militias in the south. The two sides had made a devil's pact with one another.
Both sides turned against the Soviets.
...
In the scenario considered in secret at the Peshawar session, after U.S. ground troops enter Afghanistan en masse, an Iranian-style political coalition would be announced.
U.S. troops would become bargaining chips--information about their locations on the ground would be traded by the northern warlords in exchange for the new power-sharing arrangement.
Taliban leader Mullah Mohammed Omar (or his designated heir) would be elevated to the status of supreme religious leader, akin to Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.